Looking at the Numbers

I am so tired of people whose first impulse is to quote experts rather than facts. 

An “expert” is part of an establishment. Facts are reflective of reality. We can grapple with facts. Assess the relevance, the context, and how to weight different variables. The quality of the data. You can wrestle with an issue if you look at the facts. 

Drag out an “expert?” All you have done is appeal to authority. The authority may be right or wrong, but there is no way to assess its credibility without recourse to the facts. 

TRANSGENDER SH00TER: *Literally posts videos showing how much he hates Christians*

MAYOR: Stop attacking transgenderism

POLICE CHIEF: We have no motive

Minneapolis is absolutely screwed.

— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) August 27, 2025

I got to thinking about this as I was reading about the horrific shooting that occurred in my neck of the woods yesterday. Yet another Trantifa terrorist shot up yet another Christian school. Suddenly, a bunch of experts came out of the woods–or the AIs I consulted about the issue–told us that there is no correlation between transgender identity and proclivity to such violence–particularly mass shootings. 

I wondered how they justified that statement, which stands in stark contrast to our experience. 

It looks like another Transgender person did the attack at the Annunciation Catholic School in Minneapolis.
For data from 2018 to 2024.https://t.co/fitSsRmDG1 https://t.co/jczJli9y2u pic.twitter.com/BEQkr0iCI6

— John R Lott Jr. (@JohnRLottJr) August 27, 2025

The only way to assess the claim is recourse to the data. And once you look at the data, you see how the “experts” arrive at their assertion. 

🚨 WOW! Jesse Waters just CALLED OUT the trans vioIence epidemic

“The left WEAPONIZES trans kids, turning them into culture warriors, and they’ve been turned loose against the Church, schools and Trump. You see it, I see it.”

“Statistically, the trans population has been prone… pic.twitter.com/TwSOKF7jEn

— Nick Sortor (@nicksortor) August 28, 2025

As usual, it has to do with how you define things. Just as “What is a woman” is the starting point with transgenderism, “What is a mass shooting?” is the fundamental question. If you massage the definitions, you can make anything seem true. 

When another shooting happens at a place such as a school or a mall, politicians and the media are apt to claim that many hundreds of mass shootings occur each year. “Over the last year since Uvalde, our country has experienced a staggering 650 mass shootings,” President Joe Biden claimed in 2023. After the Madison, Wisconsin school shooting in mid-December, CNN said that “more than 500 mass shootings” had taken place so far in 2024.

These statements give an incorrect impression that there are massacres every day, like the infamous 2022 Uvalde shooting, which claimed the lives of nineteen students and two teachers, or the one in Lewiston, which claimed eighteen lives. 

The numbers cited by Biden and CNN come from the Gun Violence Archive, which broadly defines mass shootings to include any case with four or more people shot or injured. The injuries could occur in the course of running away, and not from actually being shot. It is also useful to note that the GVA is a gun control group. Mark Bryant, who runs the Gun Violence Archive (GVA), lobbied the CDC to remove data on defensive gun uses from their website on the rate of defensive gun uses because that information “has been used so often to stop [gun control] legislation.”

There is a reason that Uvalde got the news coverage it did, and you don’t hear about these other hundreds of cases. What makes these attacks newsworthy is that the shooter tries to kill as many innocent people as possible in a public place. The FBI active shooting reports concentrate on shootings that occur in public and do not involve some other crime, such as drug gang fights or robbery. Traditionally, the FBI has classified “mass” as four or more people being murdered. Academic studies have used a similar definition. We are using this definition (more details are available here).

When you and I think of a mass shooting like the one that happened yesterday, we think of something specific. It’s the gunman entering a venue and shooting people randomly due to some insane rage. School shootings. The Las Vegas concert shooting. The Pulse nightclub attack. These are events rare enough and shocking enough to make national news and generate all those thinkpieces and inspire politicians to ridicule “thoughts and prayers.”

🚨 HOLY CRAP! JD Vance just absolutely NUKED Jen Psaki for attacking Christians for “prayers” after the Minneapolis trans sho-ter wreaked havoc.

“Why do you feel the need to attack other people for praying when kids were just k-lled praying?”

“Of all the weird left wing culture… pic.twitter.com/Pi1V8pn2Ef

— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) August 28, 2025

To believe the “experts” quoted, more than one mass shooting a day happens in America. If that were true, no particular one would grab public attention and get days of coverage. Their rarity and horror stand out. Random gang shootings don’t get that kind of attention–we discuss the stats, not the individual events. 

Yesterday’s attack was a mass shooting in the way we think of them, and the identity of the killer is especially relevant. 

“There’s no way to pin an ideology on this”

You sure about that, @amyklobuchar? pic.twitter.com/HSlj7fdIOb

— Dustin Grage (@GrageDustin) August 28, 2025

But when you read about “mass shootings” and listen to the “experts” who want to massage the statistics to say what they want them to, the definition of “mass shooting” is very plastic, depending on what they want to convince you of. 

“Ms. Westman.” https://t.co/aAef8V74sZ

— Stephen L. Miller (@redsteeze) August 28, 2025

When you want to whitewash an issue such as this–are Trantifa out there killing people?–you define mass shootings differently. Suddenly, every gang fight in South Chicago is a mass shooting. That drive-by in LA? Mass shooting. By this definition, the events you and I think of when discussing the issue become statistically irrelevant–footnotes in the statistics. 

It’s murderer. A guy acting like a girl shooting children @CNN https://t.co/kiBKr8SQoA

— Captain Jack Moss (@macranger) August 28, 2025

It’s a neat trick, and only possible to pull off if you divert people’s attention away from the facts. Appeal to an authority who pulls out charts and graphs and jargon, and you can create a Narrative. 

https://t.co/cXuxJr8KrN https://t.co/KpyWoutiqD

— Douglass Mackey (@DougMackeyCase) August 28, 2025

When you start boiling down the statistics to the data we are interested in–not gang shootings, but attacks on random people for ideological reasons of some kind–you find that yes, in recent years, there has been a spike of violence coming from the alphabet activists. And it is significant–transgender-identifying killers are now, relatively speaking, a substantial fraction of the shooters.

It was always a threat. https://t.co/7TfAlT77c3

— Andy Ngo (@MrAndyNgo) August 27, 2025

There’s a reason for that, and it’s the ideology, and perhaps the “treatments.” Certainly the first, and probably the second. 

Gender dysphoria has been around for a long time, but its association with violence is relatively new. That’s because individuals who suffered from the problem were unique cases, not members of a group with a shared identity. They were unhappy people in need of help. 

“If you don’t give trans people hormones, they’ll shoot themselves!”

Well, if you do give them hormones, they’ll shoot young Christian children

— Will Chamberlain (@willchamberlain) August 27, 2025

In recent years, alphabet ideologists have created a group out of these individuals by creating an “identity,” and with it a cult that requires rigid adherence and a hostility to outsiders. Hostility to others is part of the identity; for the “us,” there has to be an oppressive “them.” In prior years, cults had to gather for the reinforcing effects of a cult to work effectively over time, but now there is an entire infrastructure to keep the cult going–complete with institutions reinforcing the effect, and politicians and “experts” promoting it. 

Anger and unhappiness are fueling this, along with a promise that if you only join the cult, all will be well. And if it isn’t, it’s the normies’ fault. 

Since we are having so many mass shootings by transgenders or people confused about being a man or woman, shouldn’t that be redefined as a mental illness like it used to be? pic.twitter.com/wgaZVANAxO

— • Angry Frog ™ • (@angrifrog) August 28, 2025

Gender dysphorics need help, not a shared identity. It’s not “conversion” to help somebody become reconciled to the reality that they are male or female, just as it is not the genocide of blind people to help them see. Helping obese people become healthy is not fatphobia, and helping deaf people to hear is a good thing, not an attack on the deaf. 

We are seeing these mass shootings because alphabet ideology demands that self-loathing be externalized. Nothing is wrong with the individual–any unhappiness is blamed on others. 

Minneapolis school shooter Robin Westman confessed he was ‘tired of being trans’: ‘I wish I never brain-washed myself’ https://t.co/P74W8e0JjM pic.twitter.com/pEHbUOmRFu

— New York Post (@nypost) August 28, 2025

Matt Walsh helped uncover the hollowness of alphabet ideology, but there is more to be done–we need to focus on the ideology itself and why it is creating a generation of dangerously unhappy people. 

All these “experts” trying to divert our attention from the problem are part of the problem. They are gaslighting gender dysphorics, creating more of them, and lying to us. 

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