A new AtlasIntel poll shows former President Donald Trump leading Kamala Harris across all major swing states with narrow but growing margins as the 2024 presidential election draws near.
The survey of likely voters indicates that Trump is favored in pivotal states, including North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania.
JUST IN: AtlasIntel, the most accurate pollster of 2020, releases their official swing state poll showing Donald Trump leading in every swing state.
The poll shows Trump leading in Arizona and Nevada by a very comfortable margin.
North Carolina: Trump +3.4
Georgia: Trump +2.5… pic.twitter.com/W8EJvnIsKP— Collin Rugg (@CollinRugg) November 3, 2024
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In several of these battlegrounds, Trump’s lead extends beyond the poll’s margin of error.
His largest advantage is seen in Arizona, where he currently holds a 52.3% to 45.8% lead over Harris.
Nevada shows Trump ahead at 51.2% compared to Harris’s 46%, also outside the margin of error.
In North Carolina, both candidates recently campaigned on Saturday, and Trump maintains a lead of 50.5% to Harris’s 47.1%.
In Georgia, another crucial state, Trump is ahead with 50.1% to Harris’s 47.6%.
BREAKING: THE MOST ACCURATE POLLSTER OF 2020, ATLASINTEL, HAS TRUMP WINNING EVERY SWING STATE!
AZ: Trump+6.8
NV: Trump+5.5
NC: Trump+3.6
GA: Trump+1.8
PA: Trump+1.7
MI: Trump+1.5
WI: Trump+1.3MAKE THIS A REALITY BY VOTING TRUMP ASAP! pic.twitter.com/01zgPoggc0
— Bo Loudon (@BoLoudon) November 3, 2024
Other swing states show tighter races, falling within the poll’s two-point margin of error.
In Michigan, Trump leads with 49.7% to Harris’s 48.2%, and in Pennsylvania, he is ahead by 49.6% to her 47.8%. The narrowest gap is in Wisconsin, where Trump leads by just over one percentage point at 49.7% to Harris’s 48.6%.
Overall, the poll shows Trump with a 49% lead over Harris’s 47.2% nationally, reinforcing his standing in critical battleground states.
AtlasIntel also said if white males turn out for Trump on election day, he will win Pennsylvania and potentially the rest of the Rust Belt states.
Vote, and bring a friend or family member with you.
— Collin Rugg (@CollinRugg) November 3, 2024
AtlasIntel, which gained attention for its accuracy in the 2020 election cycle, notes that it successfully predicted outcomes in every swing state within the margin of error that year, adding weight to its current findings as both campaigns push through the final stretch before Election Day.
TRUMP: “We’re leading in all seven swing states…A little birdie told me that we’re leading in New Jersey.” pic.twitter.com/3r6JPplwey
— Chief Nerd (@TheChiefNerd) November 3, 2024
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