New Report Exposes Biased Forecasting on Trump’s Big, Beautiful Bill [WATCH]

A new report released by the Foundation for Government Accountability (FGA) is raising concerns about the objectivity and political neutrality of the Congressional Budget Office (CBO), the federal agency tasked with providing cost estimates and budget projections to Congress.

According to the FGA’s findings, an overwhelming majority of CBO staffers are affiliated with the Democratic Party, prompting questions about whether the agency’s economic analyses are being influenced by partisan bias.

Under Biden, after the Inflation Reduction Act passed in 2022, CBO said it would DECREASE the deficit by $58.1B over the following decade.

In 2024, a CBO “update” said that the IRA would INCREASE the deficit by approx. $300B!

Was the 2022 projection just political cover? ⤵️ pic.twitter.com/VHGLaRpreu

— The FGA (@TheFGA) June 5, 2025

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The CBO was established in 1974 with the mission of providing “objective, nonpartisan information to support the Congressional budget process.”

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However, the FGA report found that 78.9 percent of CBO staff are registered Democrats, while only 12.5 percent are registered Republicans.

Another 8.6 percent are unaffiliated or registered as independents.

The agency’s Health Division, which handles estimates for federal programs such as Medicare and Medicaid, was identified as particularly skewed — with 93 percent of its staff registered as Democrats, according to the FGA report.

Even among those listed as independents, the FGA found a trend of political donations favoring Democratic candidates.

.@PressSec just SLAMMED the CBO and says they’re “partisan and political.”

“I don’t think many people know this, there hasn’t been a single staffer in the entire congressional budget office who has contributed to a Republican since the year 2000.”

“Guess what? There have been… pic.twitter.com/GlKCFuy71Q

— Gunther Eagleman™ (@GuntherEagleman) June 3, 2025

Donation records reviewed by The Daily Caller News Foundation supported the claim that the true percentage of left-leaning staff is likely even higher than voter registration records indicate.

Hayden Dublois, data and analytics director at FGA and a co-author of the report, expressed concern over the agency’s credibility.

“The CBO loves to say they’re just doing math — but when that math is built on partisan bias and bad assumptions, it becomes political storytelling rather than hard science,” Dublois said in an interview.

The report also pointed to what it described as a “revolving-door-like relationship” between CBO analysts, Democratic congressional offices, and progressive policy think tanks.

Analysts often gain their experience at such institutions before joining the CBO to score high-impact legislation, according to the FGA.

The findings come at a time when the CBO is under increased scrutiny for its recent estimate of the financial and coverage impacts of the GOP’s “One Big Beautiful Bill Act,” a major legislative effort designed to implement elements of President Donald Trump’s agenda through the budget reconciliation process.

On Wednesday, the CBO projected that the bill would increase the federal deficit by $2.4 trillion and result in nearly 11 million fewer individuals receiving Medicaid benefits.

However, backers of the legislation have challenged those figures, citing internal estimates that the bill would actually reduce the federal deficit by $1.4 trillion.

Critics of the CBO say the agency has a history of overestimating negative outcomes associated with reforms to entitlement programs.

“CBO makes scary claims about how many people will lose Medicaid, but they leave out the truth: The vast majority of those counted are either enrolled in multiple states, already ineligible, have other health coverage, are illegal aliens, are able-bodied adults who can work but choose not to, or aren’t even enrolled in the program,” Dublois stated.

He added that the CBO’s credibility suffers from repeated forecasting errors.

“Here’s the bottom line: CBO is biased, and its numbers consistently miss the mark by embarrassing margins,” Dublois said.

“Congress should be able to rely on its service agency to produce quality data. Instead, CBO has become another captive institution wrapped in non-partisan clothing.”

The FGA’s report is expected to further fuel debate on Capitol Hill about how budget and policy projections are developed and whether reforms are needed to restore public trust in the agency’s work.

As Congress continues to weigh large-scale budget legislation, lawmakers on both sides of the aisle may be forced to reassess the sources they rely on for economic forecasting.

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