The government shutdown has entered its 40th day, and both Republicans and Democrats are facing growing pressure from voters, federal workers, and key industries as negotiations remain stalled in Congress.
With air travel disruptions mounting and federal employees missing multiple paychecks, lawmakers from both parties are bracing for political fallout in the weeks ahead.
If the shutdown continues into mid-November, consequences could extend beyond economic strain.
Federal workers are already without pay, food assistance programs such as SNAP are at risk of disruption, and flight delays across major U.S. airports are increasing ahead of the Thanksgiving travel season.
While both sides are exchanging blame, the latest standoff centers on healthcare subsidies linked to the Affordable Care Act.
Republican leaders argue that the subsidies drive up costs and funnel taxpayer dollars to insurance companies, while Democrats insist they are vital to helping Americans manage higher premiums.
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Sen. James Lankford, R-Okla., told Fox News that the subsidies are “pumping money to insurance companies” and benefit a “select group” of about 24 million people — roughly 7 percent of the U.S. population.
GOP lawmakers have maintained that the broader issue lies with Obamacare itself, not the temporary funding measure.
The current impasse has turned the shutdown into another debate over the healthcare law enacted under President Obama in 2010.
Despite numerous Republican efforts to repeal or reform the law over the years, it remains intact, and Democrats have continued to tie government funding to healthcare policy.
Republican leaders, including House Speaker Mike Johnson of Louisiana and Senate Majority Leader John Thune of South Dakota, have stated that healthcare discussions can resume once the government reopens.
However, many Democrats are skeptical of that assurance.
Some Democratic senators are reportedly considering joining Republicans to temporarily fund the government through January while continuing to debate healthcare separately.
Such a move could deepen divisions within the Democratic Party.
Progressive senators have voiced frustration that Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer and other Democrats previously joined Republicans in March to avoid a shutdown.
Party leaders fear that agreeing to reopen the government without resolving the subsidy dispute could provoke backlash among liberal lawmakers and their base.
Senate Republicans are working to attract enough Democratic votes to overcome a filibuster.
Fox News reported that air traffic delays and economic pressure are among the factors pushing some Democrats toward compromise.
A procedural vote could occur as soon as Sunday evening.
The proposal under discussion would extend funding for the Department of Agriculture, the Department of Veterans Affairs, and Congress through September 30, 2026.
It remains unclear whether Senate Republicans will call for a vote without assurances that the measure can clear a filibuster.
After several failed procedural votes in recent weeks, GOP leaders are cautious about forcing another.
If the Senate does manage to advance the bill, a final vote could come early next week.
Sources indicated that some Democrats might expedite proceedings to reopen the government quickly, while others may use procedural tactics to delay progress and propose amendments tied to Obamacare provisions.
Once passed in the Senate, the legislation would move to the House, where its fate is less certain.
Moderate Democrats such as Reps. Tom Suozzi of New York, Marie Gluesenkamp Perez of Washington, and Jared Golden of Maine could become key votes if some Republicans break ranks.
Golden, who voted for a previous short-term funding bill in September, has since announced his retirement.
House math remains tight.
If Rep.-elect Adelita Grijalva of Arizona is sworn in before a vote, the chamber would have 433 members, with 219 Republicans and 214 Democrats.
That margin allows Republicans to lose only two votes before needing Democratic support to pass the measure.
After more than five weeks of a partial shutdown, both parties face an increasingly frustrated electorate.
Democrats risk division within their ranks if they fail to secure a deal on healthcare subsidies, while Republicans could face criticism for prolonging the impasse over a policy dispute dating back more than a decade.
Regardless of how negotiations unfold in the coming days, lawmakers on both sides are confronting what many in Washington are already calling a political reckoning.
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