Venezuelan lawyer and historian Alex Vzla said the Venezuelan regime is on the verge of collapse following a U.S. military operation earlier this month that targeted key defensive and military infrastructure across the country.
In a detailed statement, Vzla said the January 3 operation fundamentally changed the balance of power inside Venezuela by eliminating the regime’s ability to defend itself from further U.S. action.
He said the strike that captured Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro destroyed the country’s aerial defense capabilities and left remaining regime figures exposed.
“The Venezuelan regime is about to fall. You heard it here first,” Vzla said.
“Now you might be wondering, Alex, how could you possibly know this? So let me tell you, when the US struck Venezuela on January 3 to capture Nicolas Maduro, they destroyed essentially all of Venezuela’s aerial defense systems.”
Vzla said the strike hit critical locations across the country, leaving the military unable to respond to future operations.
“Every major airport and major military bases were hit,” he said.
“Venezuela does not have the capacity to fight back anymore. They’re sitting ducks.”
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According to Vzla, the loss of air defenses means the United States can now operate freely inside Venezuela.
“The US can ride in on a helicopter or a plane and do whatever they want,” he said.
“They can strike any member of the regime, wherever they are, whenever they want, and they know that Trump is willing to do it now.”
Vzla said that reality has left remaining regime figures facing overwhelming pressure, both militarily and politically, following the operation.
“And that’s the difference between the before and after of January 3,” he said.
“The people who are left within the regime like density, Rodriguez, Jorge, Rodriguez, Vladimir, Putin Lopez, they know they’re surrounded military and political power far superior to anything they control.”
He said those figures no longer have leverage.
“At this moment, they have no room to negotiate,” Vzla said.
“Their hands are tied at this point. Their only option is to cooperate or be eliminated.”
Vzla described the current situation as negotiations centered not on power-sharing but on surrender.
“So the negotiation is really the terms of surrender, and that’s what’s being ironed out right now,” he said.
As evidence of the regime’s weakening position, Vzla pointed to recent behavior by senior security officials, including Diosdado Cabello, who oversees police and intelligence services in Venezuela.
“If I had to guess, if you want proof of this, you could just see the video that was recorded by Diosdado Cabello, the head of all police and Intelligence Services in Venezuela,” Vzla said.
“Just yesterday, he’s seen in a zoom call in a bunker.”
Vzla contrasted that appearance with Cabello’s previous public conduct.
“Usually he’s out of the street surrounded by police,” he said.
“So why is Cabello hiding underground?”
Vzla said the bunker appearance sent a clear signal to both the public and the military.
“And what do you think the rest of the military is going to think when they see this man hiding in the video,” he said, noting that Cabello called for unity against the United States during the appearance.
“The threat is very clear from where he is that he doesn’t believe it’s safe to go out anymore,” Vzla said.
He added that even members of the armed forces recognize the significance of that shift.
“Even those in the military understand this,” Vzla said.
Vzla also referenced Cabello’s past behavior on state television.
“And de la el Cavell was notorious on his weekly TV show that would last hours for amusing himself mocking political prisoners and the torture of Venezuelans,” he said.
According to Vzla, the contrast between that past posture and Cabello’s current actions is telling.
“The fact that this man is hiding in a bunker on a zoom call tells you everything you need to know about where this is heading,” Vzla said.
Vzla concluded by asserting that the regime’s collapse is inevitable.
“I guarantee you that the Venezuelan regime will fall,” he said, “and for all intents and purposes, it already has.”
WATCH:
The Venezuelan will fall. Here’s why. pic.twitter.com/4RAvjuhW7Z
— Alex_Vzla (@at_tvzla) January 5, 2026
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