CNN data analyst Harry Enten said new polling shows the Democratic field for 2028 remains unsettled, with no candidate establishing a clear lead.
Speaking Tuesday, Enten described the current landscape in blunt terms.
“This is just a downright clown car at this point on the Democratic side,” Enten said.
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He then walked through the early polling numbers.
“I mean, just take a look here,” he said. “Top choices for the 2028 Dem pres nominee.”
Enten noted that while one candidate appears to be ahead, the margin is slim.
“You have a leader, but it’s not really a clear leader,” he said. “It’s within the margin of error.”
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He cited specific figures from the polling.
“You have Newsom at 19 percent,” Enten said. “Then you have former Vice President Kamala Harris at 18 percent.”
He added context regarding Harris’s position.
“Quite a weak number for her, given that, of course, she was the nominee last time around,” he said.
Enten continued down the list.
“Pete Buttigieg, who of course has run before, 13 percent,” he said. “Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 12 percent.”
The numbers place California Gov. Gavin Newsom at 19 percent, Harris at 18 percent, Buttigieg at 13 percent and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 12 percent, all within a relatively narrow range.
Enten returned to his broader assessment of the race.
“This is just a total clown car,” he said. “It is a total mess.”
He emphasized the lack of a dominant figure.
“There is no clear frontrunner at this particular point on the Democratic side,” Enten said. “Who the heck knows who the nominee is going to be in three, two years?”
He added that the situation is unusual compared to previous cycles.
“It’s been a long time since we’ve had a Democratic race like this,” Enten said.
Elaborating further, he compared the current polling to earlier election years.
“Yeah, it has been a long time,” he said. “This is very unusual for the Democratic side to not have a clear frontrunner at this point.”
Enten referenced a benchmark from past primaries.
“National early poll leader at least 25 percent,” he said.
“Look at this. This year, we get the giant question mark.”
He highlighted the absence of a standout candidate.
“No one, no one, no one, no one,” Enten said.
He then pointed to previous election cycles.
“In 2021, there was no incumbent,” he said.
“It was Joe Biden who was there.”
“Hillary Clinton in both 08 and 16,” Enten added. “And Al Gore in both 2000 and 2004 at this point, where at least at 25 percent of the early polls.”
He concluded by placing the current race in historical context.
“You have to go all the way back, all the way back from when I wasn’t even in elementary school yet, not even in pre-K yet, to 1992,” Enten said. “That was the last cycle in which there was no clear frontrunner at this point.”
WATCH:
Enten’s analysis indicates that, unlike several prior Democratic primaries, the early 2028 field remains wide open, with multiple well-known figures clustered closely together and no candidate breaking past the 25 percent mark in national surveys.
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